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Sun. Jul 14th, 2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets free picks

By Vaseline May30,2024

The Mets are 11-19 at home this year and 11-14 on the road. As underdogs, the Mets are 10-18 this year, and they are 2-8 when playing as underdogs at home. New York’s overall series record is 6-11-2, and they have dropped a total of four straight series.

Despite a losing record against the runline this season, the Mets have been a profitable team coming back on the road, where they are 14-11 against the runline. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.9, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1. They have failed to cover the run line in three games at home and are just 9-21 against the run line at Citi Field this season.

The New York Mets host the Arizona Diamondbacks today and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Mets have averaged a combined series average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-26. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 8-9. So far this season, 54.5% of their games have set an over/under line higher than 7.5 runs.

Pitching matchup

Right-hander Zac Gallen is on the mound today for the Diamondbacks as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a 5-4 record to go with a 3.12 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gallen has a WHIP of 1.13 and has allowed a total of six home runs. Gallen has put together six quality starts this year and is averaging 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs and took the loss, with seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two consecutive starts.

Christian Scott gets the start for the Mets today and he has been pretty solid through his first three starts of the season. He is coming off a no-decision against the Giants, where he went six innings and gave up two earned runs. Scott has yet to win, but he has 18 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings of work.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets offensive prospects

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte are both solid producers for the Diamondbacks this season, as Walker’s 33 RBIs are 14th in the league and lead the team, while Marte has 27 RBIs and is hitting .265. Joc Pederson is the team’s best hitter so far, hitting .306 with a team-high 10 home runs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also tops the team’s home run leaderboard, with six home runs, but is hitting just .237.

Over his last ten games, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 10/34, while Christian Walker has achieved 11/37 in his last ten games. Ketel Marte has struggled a bit recently, scoring just 7/42 in his last ten games. Walker also has a seven-game hitting streak.

So far this season, the Mets offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. However, they were much better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, the Mets are hitting just .232, which is 18th in the league, and have the 20th on-base percentage in the league. The New York team’s slugging percentage of .370 is also below league average.

Brandon Nimmo comes into the game as the Mets’ leading home run hitter, and his 29 RBIs are the team’s best mark. Nimmo is hitting just .214 this season, but his on-base percentage of .355 is among the best on the team. Over his last seven games, Francisco Lindor is 9/31 (.290) with one homer and three RBIs. Lindor and Pete Alonso are tied for the team lead with 26 RBIs, but Alonso is hitting just .231 this season and has gone 5/25 in his last seven games.

Free Diamondbacks vs. Mets MLB picks

The Mets have really been struggling lately, going just 2-8 in their last 10, and they’re coming off getting routed by the Dodgers, prompting a team meeting to discuss their recent play. Luckily, they now face a Diamondbacks squad that has dropped three in a row and hasn’t scored more than three points since last Wednesday. I’ll take the Mets on the moneyline.

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